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High Probability Trading Strategies: Entry to Exit Tactics for the Forex, Futures, and Stock Markets
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From the Inside Flap
Trading today's markets—including stocks, futures, or Forex—can be a challenging and difficult endeavor. But it is possible to achieve consistent success in this field, if you're prepared to learn a complete trading plan from entry to exit. In High Probability Trading Strategies, author and well-known trading educator Robert Miner skillfully outlines every aspect of a practical trading plan—from entry to exit—that he has developed over the course of his distinguished twenty-plus-year career. The result is a complete approach to trading that will allow you to trade confidently in a variety of markets and time frames. With this book as your guide, you'll quickly learn how to recognize high-probability trading opportunities, pinpoint exact entry and stop prices, and manage a trade until it's completely closed out. You'll discover how the four key factors of dual-time-frame-momentum, pattern, price, and time can guide you down the path to trading profits. As you become familiar with the proven strategies and techniques taught in High Probability Trading Strategies, you'll also come to understand the type of market information you can use to make specific trade decisions and how to execute those decisions from start to finish. Miner teaches in a practical, step-by-step manner until a complete trading plan is developed. While the ideas found here are essential to trading success, the best way to learn is by example. That's why Miner has devoted an entire chapter—called "Real Traders, Real Time"—to trade examples submitted by his past students. In it, you'll see how they apply the strategies taught throughout the book to markets around the world. A companion website completes this comprehensive learning package. It's not a word-for-word review of the material in the book, but rather an additional tool to illustrate more examples. With it, you'll learn how to put high-probability trading strategies into practice, day by day and bar by bar, for many different markets and time frames. Written with the serious trader in mind, High Probability Trading Strategies details a practical approach to analyzing market behavior, identify-ing profitable trade setups, and executing and managing trades—from entry to exit—that will allow you to both preserve and grow your capital. If you're looking to make the most of your time in today's markets, look no further than High Probability Trading Strategies.
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From the Back Cover
High Probability Trading Strategies Trading today's markets—including stocks, futures, or Forex—can be a challenging and difficult endeavor. But it is possible to achieve consistent success in this field, if you're prepared to learn a complete trading plan from entry to exit. In High Probability Trading Strategies, author and well-known trading educator Robert Miner skillfully outlines every aspect of a practical trading plan—from entry to exit—that he has developed over the course of his distinguished twenty-plus-year career. The result is a complete approach to trading that will allow you to trade confidently in a variety of markets and time frames. With this book as your guide, you'll quickly learn how to recognize high-probability trading opportunities, pinpoint exact entry and stop prices, and manage a trade until it's completely closed out. You'll discover how the four key factors of dual-time-frame-momentum, pattern, price, and time can guide you down the path to trading profits. As you become familiar with the proven strategies and techniques taught in High Probability Trading Strategies, you'll also come to understand the type of market information you can use to make specific trade decisions and how to execute those decisions from start to finish. Miner teaches in a practical, step-by-step manner until a complete trading plan is developed. While the ideas found here are essential to trading success, the best way to learn is by example. That's why Miner has devoted an entire chapter—called "Real Traders, Real Time"—to trade examples submitted by his past students. In it, you'll see how they apply the strategies taught throughout the book to markets around the world. A companion website completes this compre-hensive learning package. It's not a word-for-word review of the material in the book, but rather an additional tool to illustrate more examples. With it, you'll learn how to put high-probability trading strategies into practice, day by day and bar by bar, for many different markets and time frames. Written with the serious trader in mind, High Probability Trading Strategies details a practical approach to analyzing market behavior, identify-ing profitable trade setups, and executing and managing trades—from entry to exit—that will allow you to both preserve and grow your capital. If you're looking to make the most of your time in today's markets, look no further than High Probability Trading Strategies.
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Product details
Hardcover: 288 pages
Publisher: Wiley; 1 edition (October 20, 2008)
Language: English
ISBN-10: 0470181664
ISBN-13: 978-0470181669
Product Dimensions:
7.4 x 1 x 10.3 inches
Shipping Weight: 1.6 pounds (View shipping rates and policies)
Average Customer Review:
4.1 out of 5 stars
145 customer reviews
Amazon Best Sellers Rank:
#395,214 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)
In my opinion this is the greatest trading book ever written. I have invested over $50,000 in seminars, books, home study courses, software & personal trading coaches and this book is better than ANYTHING that is out there. Best of all, by using it I have learned to pinpoint reversals with amazing accuracy and manage the trade from entry to exit just from what I learned in this single book. Save your money and stop searching for the holy grail of trading. The system laid out in this book is the most precise and complete trading plan you will ever find. It is a MASTERPIECE. Thank you Robert for sharing your knowledge!
Miner is a great writer and educator. This book is fairly easy to follow and the examples are quite well defined. The methodology described in this book centers on 3 concepts applied in conjunction to find "high probability trades".1. Using momentum across multiple time frames, focuses on his proprietary indicator but states that other momentum oscillators are sufficient.2. Using basic elliot wave concepts to identify corrective price moves and when impulsive moves are likely drawing to an end.3. Using fibonnacci retracement and extension confluence zones for likely reversal points.When all 3 of these concepts line up, a trade becomes "high probability". This is a pretty good system with one catch. It's A LOT OF WORK! Granted, nothing is easy in the stock market and you have to earn success, but the analytical style of this system requires a huge amount of time.I like this book and would recommmend it to intermediate to advanced traders. Beginners are not ready for this system.
As everyone else has pointed out, the strategies in this book are really just a combination of other methods commonly used by many traders. Theres no need to talk about Fib levels for 30+ pages IMO.Also, Miner cherry-picked the charts, as I rarely see such a beautiful ABC correction like the one in this book. The same chart (one of XAU in November) continues to show up again and again in multiple chapters.All in all, the strategies are fine, but nothing special in this book. Just learn how to correctly use Fibonacci targets/retracements
I have mostly positive things to say about this book, but there are also some things I didn't like. On the positive side, Miner lays out a trading plan that is comprehensive and specific--much more so on both counts than you are likely to find in most other trading books. He presents four tools to work with: multiple-time-frame momentum analysis, pattern (simplified Elliott Wave analysis), price (using Fibonacci concepts, but much more robust than the typical Fibonacci treatment) and time (also using the Fibonacci framework, but again, more robust than the usual treatment). Moreover, he devotes a good bit of space in the book to examples that show readers how to use these concepts, including entry, exit and position sizing considerations.Also, Miner appears to be the real deal. He has actually won a real-time trading contest and speaks from long experience as a trader. You'd be surprised at how many so-called trading gurus have minimal or no trading experience. It's hard to know for sure, of course, but I think Miner's trading credentials are genuine.A CD is included with the book to add another dimension to the learning experience. All in all, you can tell that Miner has expended considerable time and effort to make sure that purchasers of the book are rewarded for the money they've invested in it.For those who are wondering about the differences between this book and Miner's earlier work, "Dynamic Trading," there are several things to be aware of. The primary addition to the new work is multiple-time-frame momentum analysis. This is a major component of Miner's strategy. It is the first concept he discusses in the book, and it is the key component he uses to screen for trading opportunities. In my opinion, the book is worth having merely for that reason.Beyond multiple-time-frame momentum analysis, Miner has simplified his discussion of pattern, price and time from what we saw in "Dynamic Trading." Realizing how ridiculously complex Elliott Wave analysis can get, for example, he presents one feature to look for (overlapping) to determine whether the market is trending or correcting, and three other tools for identifying trend and correction position.Despite Miner's attempt at simplifying, I'd say the book's level of difficulty is relatively high. It is not a book most people will be able to breeze through--mainly because of the numerous examples--but it is one that will repay careful study. And, as I said, one advantage of the book is that you are getting a comprehensive trading framework. If you read only this one book and faithfully follow Miner's advice, you should have everything you need to be successful as a trader.It is helpful, but not absolutely crucial, to use Miner's Dynamic Trader software when implementing his system. I think the software would be especially helpful if you are trading on shorter time frames. Certainly for trading from daily charts, and possibly for shorter time frames, it might work to use a spreadsheet or a calculator to make the relatively simple calculations that are required. Ultimately, this is a question readers will have to answer for themselves. In my opinion, much of what Miner teaches can be implemented whether you own his software or not.Now for what I didn't like about the book. Miner has a brash, arrogant style of writing that I find tiresome. He also makes a habit of belittling virtually every other source of trading information, as though he were the only honest, competent vendor out there. Hence, you frequently run across sentences like this one on page 56: "If you ever read a trading book or take a trading course where the author/instructor does not clearly state that whatever strategy he is teaching will not be profitable with every trade, and doesn't show examples that don't work out, get out as quickly as possible before it costs you a lot of hard-earned money." An occasional warning like this would be fine, but Miner's prose--while clear and easy to follow--is unfortunately laden with such heavy-handed admonishments.Additionally, I find Miner inconsistent on some key points. For example, on page 23 he rails against trading instructors who present methods for trading in trading-range markets. Says Minor indignantly (and in italics), "You can never know in advance if a market is going to begin a trading range--never." But later in the book, he presents tools to determine whether the market is trending or correcting, and whether the trend/correction is close to completing. If a correction is something like a trading range, which seems a reasonable assumption, isn't Miner, in effect, proposing that we can know what he earlier said was impossible to know?What's more, after spending most of the book trumpeting that his tools will enable readers to trade with high probability, he announces on page 158 (while hammering home the importance of limiting losses), "Listen up, reader. If you have better than a 50% winning trade percentage over time, you are among the trader elite. If you get good at trading, you will have around a 30% to 40% win percentage." I don't know about other readers, but I was stunned to find that after employing all of Miner's tools, the best I could hope for was probably only 30% to 40% accuracy. That puts Miner's methods about on a par with a number of completely mechanical trend-following systems.Despite these quibbles, I found "High Probability Trading Strategies" extremely worthwhile. I don't buy many trading books any more, but this is one I'm glad to have in my library. I will likely use it, in conjunction with some other tools I have that are geared specifically for the stock market, to trade stock index futures and ETFs--and hopefully raise that win percentage!
As someone who has reviewed many trading "systems/methodologies" over the years I found that Robert Miners methodology is amongst the most thorough and valuable for my trading . Robert's methodology takes modern approach to the Elliot Method and gives traders a complete look at stock/ETF/Forex investment from product evaluation to entry all the way to sales/stops. I find one of the most valuable components of Robert's methodology is that he advises in concrete terms how to approach risk and set price targets with a low risk/high reward approach. Make no mistake, the concepts are at times a bit difficult to thoroughly digest but they will make a huge difference in your trading and more importantly, your trading P & L.
I have just received the book and so far I have found the reading interesting. The only thing was that the book did not arrive with any CD of examples which the same book refers to as supporting documentation.Once I finish the reading I will update my comments here.
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